Date: Dimanche, 3 Février 2002
Temps: 10h02
TUCKERMAN RAVINE HAS MODERATE AND LOW AVALANCHE
DANGER. The Little Headwall, the Lower Snowfields,
and Left Gully all have Low avalanche danger. Human
triggered avalanches are unlikely except in isolated
pockets on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies.
Normal caution is advised. All other areas in Tuckerman
have Moderate avalanche danger. This includes the
Hillmans Highway, Bowl, Headwall, Lip, Sluice, and
Right Gully. Natural avalanches are unlikely and
human triggered avalanches are possible. Use caution
in steeper terrain.
HUNTINGTON RAVINE HAS LOW AVALANCHE DANGER. Human
triggered avalanches are unlikely except in isolated
pockets on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies.
Normal caution is advised.
It has warmed up a little bit over night into this
morning to the current of 12 degree F. As discussed
yesterday there is a strong temperature gradient
in the upper 30-40 cm which will facilitate the
movement of vaper in the snowpack. I found a gradient
of up to 8 degrees C within 10 cm of snowpack this
morning. This is a big temperature difference and
has begun the faceting process. Small faceted crystals
were seen in the .5mm to 1mm range. Over the next
couple of days you should continue to see changing
crystals in the upper foot of the snowpack. The
loose snow beneath the ice layer is low in density
with many air channels allowing easy movement of
vaper. As a result, these facets may grow rapidly.
As faceted crystals grow larger the bonds between
them become weaker increasing instability in the
snowpack. Whether it will make a big stability difference
is yet to be determined, but I think it will be
worth watching particularly at higher elevations
where thin crusts are possible. New snow also came
in with the front yesterday so some slabs are possible
in lee areas which should not be bonded well with
the ice crust.
Snow showers are forecasted for later today so
watch for an increasing avalanche danger. With moderate
West winds likely, new slabs may occur in both ravines.
Loading would occur on the ice layer in most locations,
so a weak bond at the interface is likely. The ice
layer is textured which should help a bit with adhesion,
but expect easy shears between the two layers.
THE LION'S HEAD WINTER ROUTE IS OPEN. Follow the
orange Lion Head signs off of the Tuckerman Ravine
trail about 1.75 miles up from Pinkham. This is
a difficult steep route so crampons, ice axe, and
mountaineering skills are essential.
Coverage on the John Sherburne ski trail is improving
but the waterbars are still not quite filled in
and you should expect rocks here in there just below
the snow.
PLEASE REMEMBER:
Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche
danger, this includes wind transported snow.
Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out.
For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service
Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center
or Hermit Lake Shelters.
This bulletin expires today at midnight and the
next avalanche bulletin will be issued tomorrow.
Christopher Joosen, Snow Ranger
USDA Forest Service
White Mountain National Forest
(603) 466-2713 TTY (603) 466-2856